New Passer Ratings: Through Week 13

Below are my passer ratings through week 11. See here for the methodology (including an update as to what the numbers actually mean). Basically, the values can be loosely treated as the number of points a team would score with a given QB (passing offense) vs if they had an average QB. So, if Peyton has a 5.75, this means that his team is scoring 5.75 more points per game than if they had an average QB in his place.

Click here (available Wednesday) to see the full write-up in the NYTimes Fifth Down Blog. 
 





Passer Rating Through Week 13
(Minimum 168 Attempts)
New Rating
Traditional Rating
Rank
Player
Rating
Movement From Week 12
Rating
Rank
1
Drew Brees
6.2
0
111.3
1
2
Philip Rivers
5.0
0
104.9
3
3
Tom Brady
3.7
2
96.9
9
4
Peyton Manning
3.3
(1)
101.9
5
5
Tony Romo
2.9
1
96.3
10
6
Matt Schaub
2.7
1
97.2
7
7
Brett Favre
2.7
(3)
108.5
2
8
Ben Roethlisberger
2.2
1
100.2
6
9
Eli Manning
2.1
(1)
89.2
13
10
Kurt Warner
1.9
4
97.0
8
11
Vince Young
1.7
#N/A
87.1
16
12
Donovan McNabb
1.5
0
94.7
11
13
Aaron Rodgers
1.3
(3)
104.9
3
14
Kyle Orton
0.7
(3)
88.2
14
15
David Garrard
0.1
1
86.6
18
16
Jason Campbell
-0.2
2
87.7
15
17
Joe Flacco
-0.2
(4)
90.2
12
18
Matt Ryan
-0.5
(3)
80.0
21
19
Carson Palmer
-0.9
(2)
85.0
19
20
Alex Smith
-1.2
0
86.7
17
21
Chad Henne
-1.9
(2)
74.4
23
22
Jay Cutler
-2.3
(1)
75.3
22
23
Matt Hasselbeck
-2.6
(1)
83.6
20
24
Marc Bulger
-3.2
0
70.7
27
25
Josh Freeman
-3.3
#N/A
64.1
28
26
Mark Sanchez
-3.3
(3)
63.7
29
27
Kerry Collins
-3.9
(2)
62.0
30
28
Brady Quinn
-4.4
3
72.6
25
29
Matthew Stafford
-4.4
(3)
61.0
31
30
Jake Delhomme
-4.5
(2)
59.4
32
31
Matt Cassel
-4.5
(4)
72.3
26
32
Trent Edwards
-4.9
(2)
74.1
24
33
JaMarcus Russell
-7.0
(1)
47.7
33





Week 13 Only

(Minimum 14 Attempts)
Rank
Player
Rating
Result
1
Philip Rivers
19.2
Win
2
Tom Brady
11.6
Loss
3
Kurt Warner
9.6
Win
4
Ben Roethlisberger
9.0
Loss
5
Jason Campbell
8.4
Loss
6
Bruce Gradkowski
8.1
Win
7
Eli Manning
7.8
Win
8
Drew Brees
6.6
Win
9
Donovan McNabb
4.3
Win
10
Tony Romo
3.6
Loss
11
David Garrard
2.8
Win
12
Peyton Manning
2.3
Win
13
Alex Smith
2.0
Loss
14
Brady Quinn
1.5
Win
15
Jay Cutler
0.7
Loss
16
Mark Sanchez
0.1
Win
17
Chad Henne
-0.4
Win
18
Vince Young
-0.9
Loss
19
Matt Schaub
-0.9
Loss
20
Aaron Rodgers
-1.3
Win
21
Matt Moore
-1.3
Loss
22
Chris Redman
-2.5
Loss
23
Josh Freeman
-3.2
Win
24
Matt Hasselbeck
-3.3
Win
25
Kyle Orton
-3.4
Loss
26
Brett Favre
-3.9
Win
27
Carson Palmer
-4.5
Loss
28
Brodie Croyle
-4.8
Loss
29
Matthew Stafford
-7.3
Loss
30
Ryan Fitzpatrick
-8.3
Loss
31
Kyle Boller
-9.7
Loss
32
Joe Flacco
-10.8
Loss
33
Matt Cassel
-11.3
Loss

1 comment:

ceedave said...

Although there are fascinating differences (your formula makes Brady and Romo look good, Favre not so much), the rank correlation coefficient between your formula and the "traditional" ranking is 0.93. Pretty similar.

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